回归分析的基本条件假设(SLR, MLR)

您所在的位置:网站首页 RSS全称计量经济学 回归分析的基本条件假设(SLR, MLR)

回归分析的基本条件假设(SLR, MLR)

2023-06-27 21:54| 来源: 网络整理| 查看: 265

对回归分析进行参数估计时,有三种估计方法,最小二乘法(OLS, ordinary least squares),广义矩估计(GMM, general moment method)以及最大似然估计(MLE, maximum likelihood estimation),最为常用的方法即是最小二乘法,即采用的是高斯马尔科夫定理。

参考伍德里奇的计量经济学导论,但在采用最小二乘法进行估计时,针对SLR(一元线性回归),其变量需要满足如下的条件假设

模型的线性 Assumption SLR.1 (LINEAR IN PARAMETERS) In the population model, the dependent variable y is related to the independent variable x and the error (or disturbance) u as y = \beta_0 + \beta_1 x +u where \beta_0 and \beta_1are the population intercept and slope parameters, respectively. 变量的随机性 Assumption SLR.2 (RANDOM SAMPLING) We can use a random sample of sizen, {(x_i,y_i): i =1,2,…,n}, from the population model. 零条件均值假设 Assumption SLR.3 (ZERO CONDITIONAL MEAN) E(u|x) = 0 自变量方差不为零 Assumption SLR.4 (SAMPLE VARIATION IN THE INDEPENDENT VARIABLE) In the sample, the independent variables x_i, i = 1,2,…,n, are not all equal to the same constant. This requires some variation in x in the population.

而如果进行的是 MLR(多元线性回归),其假设条件为:

模型的线性 Assumption MLR.1 (LINEAR IN PARAMETERS) The model in the population can be written as y = \beta_0 + \beta_1 x_1 + \beta_2 x_2 + ... + \beta_k x_k + u where \beta_0, \beta_1, \beta_k are are the unknown parameters (constants) of interest, and u is an unobservable random error or random disturbance term. 变量的随机性 Assumption MLR.2 (RANDOM SAMPLING) We have a random sample of n observations, {(x_{i1}, x_{i2},…,x_{ik}, y_i): i =1,2,…,n} , from the population model described by (3.31). 零条件均值假设 Assumption MLR.3 (ZERO CONDITIONAL MEAN) The error u has an expected value of zero, given any values of the independent variables. In other words, E(u|x_1, x_2,... x_k) = 0 变量无完美共线性 Assumption MLR.4 (NO PERFECT COLLINEARITY ) In the sample (and therefore in the population), none of the independent variables is constant, and there are no exact linear relationships among the independent variables. 方差齐性 Assumption MLR.5 (HOMOSKEDASTICITY) Var(u|x_1, x_2,...x_k) = \sigma^2 6.正态性 Assumption MLR.6 (NORMALITY) The population error u is independent of the explanatory variables x_1, x_2, …, x_k and is normally distributed with zero mean and variance \sigma^2: u ~ Normal(0, \sigma^2)

以上是对模型运用中的基本假设进行解读,具体到应用中,涉及到回归模型的诊断、统计检验、绘图及模型解释可以参考文章回归分析诊断、统计检验、绘图及模型解释。



【本文地址】


今日新闻


推荐新闻


CopyRight 2018-2019 办公设备维修网 版权所有 豫ICP备15022753号-3