17级台风“玛娃”,将向哪个方向走?

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17级台风“玛娃”,将向哪个方向走?

2023-06-02 22:32| 来源: 网络整理| 查看: 265

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台 风 公 报

预报:聂高臻 签发:许映龙 2023 年 05 月 27 日 10 时

“玛娃”继续向西偏北方向移动

一、“玛娃”位于西北太平洋洋面上

今年第2号台风“玛娃”(Mawar)(超强台风级)的中心今天(27日)上午8点钟位于我国台湾省花莲市东偏南方向大约1510公里的西北太平洋洋面上,就是北纬16.3度、东经133.6度,中心附近最大风力有17级(60米/秒),中心最低气压为920百帕,七级风圈半径300-400公里,十级风圈半径120-200公里,十二级风圈半径80-120公里。

二、“玛娃”继续向西偏北方向移动

预计,“玛娃”将以每小时20-25公里的速度继续向西偏北方向移动,强度先减弱,尔后有所加强,并逐渐向台湾以东洋面靠近,29日以后将逐渐转向偏北方向移动,强度逐渐减弱。

受“玛娃”影响,5月27日至6月1日,菲律宾吕宋岛以东洋面、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡、台湾海峡、南海东北部海域、东海南部和东部海域以及台湾岛东部和北部沿海将先后出现明显风雨天气,请过往船只注意航行安全。

图1. 今年第2号台风“玛娃”未来120小时路径概率预报图

海洋天气公报

预报:柳龙生 签发:黄彬 2023 年 05 月 27 日 06 时

我国北部和东部海域将有大雾

一、近海海域天气实况

26日14时至27日02时,东海北部海域出现了5~7级、阵风8级的偏南风。黄海北部和西部海域出现能见度不足10公里的轻雾,其中部分海域出现能见度不足1公里的大雾。

二、近海海域重点天气预报

1、我国北部和东部海域将有大雾

27日白天至28日早晨,渤海部分海域、渤海海峡、黄海北部偏东海域、黄海东南部海域、东海西北部海域、辽东半岛东部沿岸海域、山东半岛东部沿岸海域将有能见度不足1公里的大雾。为此,中央气象台5月27日06时继续发布《大雾黄色预警》。

2、我国东南部海域将有6~8级风

27日白天至28日夜间,黄海中部和南部海域将有5~6级、阵风7级的偏南风,28日白天至29日夜间,台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡、南海东北部海域将有6~8级、阵风9级的风,其中台湾以东洋面和巴士海峡部分海域风力可达9~10级、阵风11~12级。

三、未来三天具体预报

海事天气公报

ZCZC

WWCI50 BABJ 270000

2:2:31:11:11:00

BT

PAN PAN =

MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING

AT 0330UTC MAY.27 2023 =

MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS =

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000UTC MAY.27 =

FCST VALID 0000UTC MAY.28 =

WARNNING=

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNNING=

SuperTY MAWAR 2302(2302) 920HPA AT 16.3N 133.6E

MVG W 25KMH AND MAX WINDS 60M/S NEAR CENTER

(SEAS UP TO 12M)

AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS

400KM NE

340KM SE

300KM SW

380KM NW

AND RADIUS OF 50KTS WINDS

200KM NE

120KM SE

120KM SW

180KM NW

AND RADIUS OF 64KTS WINDS

120KM NE

80KM SE

80KM SW

100KM NW

AND FCST FOR 280000UTC AT 17.2N 128.8E 935HPA

AND MAX WINDS 52M/S NEAR CENTER=

SUMMARY=

SW/SLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 14M/S GUSTS 18M/S SEAS UP

TO 2.0M OVER SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA AND

NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND SEA WEST OF

GUAM=

NLY WINDS FROM 14 TO 18M/S GUSTS 22M/S SEAS UP TO

3.5M OVER SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES=

ELY WINDS FROM 26 TO 30M/S GUSTS 34M/S SEAS UP TO

6.5M OVER SEA WEST OF NORTH MARIANA ISLANDS=

DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER CENTRAL PART OF

YELLOW SEA AND SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA WITH

HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 1KM=

HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER BOHAI

SEA AND BOHAI STRAIT AND NORTHERN PART OF YELLOW

SEA AND SOUTHWESTERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND

TAIWAN STRAIT AND NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA

SEA AND SOUTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA AND

SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS AND ANDAMAN SEA AND

THAILAND GULF AND MALACCA STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF

SINGAPORE AND SEA SOUTH OF SUMATERA AND SUNDA

STRAIT AND LAUT JAWA AND MAKASSAR STRAIT AND LAUT

MALUKU AND LAUT BANDA=

FCST=

BOHAI SEA

NE WINDS 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S SEA STATE

SMOOTH VIS VERY POOR=

BOHAI STRAIT

E WINDS BACK NE 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S SEA

STATE SMOOTH VIS VERY POOR=

NORTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA

S WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE

SLIGHT VIS VERY POOR=

MIDDLE PART OF YELLOW SEA

S WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE LIGHT RAIN VIS MODERATE=

SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA

S WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE VIS VERY POOR=

NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA

SE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

BASHI CHANNEL

NE WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S INCR 08 TO

12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE SLIGHT TO

MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA

E WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S BACK NE

WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

SLIGHT TO MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

NORTHEASTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA

SW WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S INCR 08 TO

12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY

BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD TO MODERATE=

SOUTHWESTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA

SW WINDS 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S INCR 08 TO

12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE SLIGHT TO

MODERATE LIGHT RAIN BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS

MODERATE=

SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN

E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S DECR 06 TO

08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE

OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS

E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S INCR 12 TO

16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE MODERATE TO

ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

SEA WEST OF BONIN ISLANDS

E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES

NE WINDS VEER E 36 TO 40M/S GUSTS 40 TO 45M/S SEA

STATE VERY HIGH OVERCAST BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS

GOOD TO MODERATE=

SEA WEST OF NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS

SE WINDS 32 TO 36M/S GUSTS 36 TO 40M/S DECR 24 TO

28M/S GUSTS 28 TO 32M/S SEA STATE VERY HIGH TO

HIGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=

SEA SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES

W WINDS BACK SW 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA

STATE ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=

SEA WEST OF GUAM

SW WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S DECR 08 TO

12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE ROUGH TO

MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=

SEA NORTHEAST OF INDONISIA

SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=

SEA SOUTH OF JAWA

E WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S INCR 08 TO

12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY

VIS GOOD=

SEA SOUTH OF VIETNAM

W WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S INCR 08 TO

12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE

MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=

NNNN

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